A ‘hockey stick’ for xMass

If you are looking for ‘hockey sticks’ to match to, how about this an an alternative.

BEST Global aligned 1850 onwards with UT1.png

derived fromUT1.png



based on a comparison suggested by

rotation-temperature small.png

So a change from rotational energy to heat? I can’t do the maths if any exist. Would be a possible explanation though. Cold = Fast, Warm = Slow. Spinning down towards entropy? Like a gaia ice-skater, pulling her arms in when she is cold and spreading them out when she is warm? Mass transfer between the Poles and the Equator. Over that long, slow, method of energy transport. Balanced finely on either side of a long slowdown throughout the ages to eternity. Too fast a decline and the world speeds back up towards the ‘middle’ as she picks up or looses energy above/below that ‘middle’. Overshoots because of the lags and it gets hotter or colder on the surface for a while. Then the steady decline resumes.

Think ‘old fashioned regulated steam engine’. Always chugging up and down on idle around a ‘middle’ speed set overall.

A shallow saw tooth pattern overlaid on a steady geometrical decline to entropy? Driven by orbital and mass distribution factors?

Now if we take that back to the Medieval Warm Period, is there a match there also? And further back still? The Roman Warm Period? The Ice ages? That would be a proof, surely.


Also it might explain why it is harder to find a wider global ~60-65 year signal in some data as we go backwards in time.

We can only make presumptions about the descent to the ‘bottom’ in UT1. The global patterns may differ on the downwards part of the cycle. Which would make the shorter cycle possibly only appear in the upwards part of the longer waveform.

Also possibly explain its presence in any case, as being part of the natural response, overshoot, undershoot, to the rising values.

Which causes which is the real question. And all well, well, well before CO2.

For the size of power available in momentum see


Where’s that missing heat now? I think it may be in cold, cold water at the bottom near the Equator.

Watery, icy hands to the poles. Watery, cold water hands to the bottom near the Equator.”






3 thoughts on “A ‘hockey stick’ for xMass

    • Well it would appear I am person non grata at WUWT for some reason now as I have sent stuff to them recently and got no reply. I like the fact that the phase of UT1 leads temperature! Cause/effect?

      Feel free to link to it where ever you feel is appropriate. Lets go viral 🙂

      • Submit to Talbloke. He is often more open to alternative explanations. Too often new ideas are rejected because we cannot explain the mechanism, but this as a mistake of modern science. Humans learned to predict the seasons long before they understood the cause. It is this ability to predict the future reliably that is at the heart of science.

        Explaining the mechanism may help satisfy our curiosity, but in the end, as we learn more, we almost always find there is a new mechanism underlying what we previously thought was the true mechanism, and this process continues without limit. For example, Newton did not provide a mechanism by which Gravity works. He noted that “action at a distance” was a humbug, because it required infinite speed, but still his formulas worked. It took Einstein to improve upon Newton, but even still, Einstein provides no mechanism by which Gravity works, only a slightly more accurate result.

        To this day we don’t know the mechanism behind Gravity, we don’t even know the propagation speed of Gravity, yet we predict its future effects with great accuracy. Why should climate be any different? In the history of science it is almost universally successful prediction that comes first, with the mechanism following later. Thus I am not troubled by successful prediction that openly admits the mechanism remains unknown. The universe contains an infinite number of unknowns.

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